Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Matthew Dellavedova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073ada497800c42fe309ed98902eb948a9b8e8b53753075b0dd8fb6ee8c882f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Shunsuke Mitsui, Matthew Dellavedova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthew Dellavedova | 56c | 5,864$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 49c | 2,441$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 51c | 1,522$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.19 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 36c | 969.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 44c | 857.36$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 747.4$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 716$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.24 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 551.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 44c | 430.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 48c | 389.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew Dellavedova | 53c | 359.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 51c | 287.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 37c | 251.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 59c | 232.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 47c | 193.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 38c | 123.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 53c | 120.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Matthew Dellavedova | 56c | 111.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 46c | 100.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 35c | 99.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 28c | 92.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 32c | 72.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 33c | 58.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 39c | 49.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 30c | 48.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 46c | 39.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 51c | 34.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Matthew Dellavedova | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 36c | 31.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 31.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 48c | 28.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 42c | 26.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 46c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Matthew Dellavedova | 79c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.