Tennis · resolved market
Granby: August Holmgren vs Justin Boulais
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075bfc36170a83fbbedc09d33bc44ab07f8e88bc92e67f3bcd7e62d73f6ea1f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- August Holmgrenof August Holmgren, Justin Boulais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justin Boulais | 5c | 13,213$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Justin Boulais | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren | 68c | 7,249$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.95 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Justin Boulais | 2c | 3,198$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed August Holmgren | 68c | 2,036$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.09 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed August Holmgren | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Boulais | 9c | 931.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren | 67c | 505.89$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Justin Boulais | 33c | 414.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Justin Boulais | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked August Holmgren | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked August Holmgren | 67c | 222.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed August Holmgren | 73c | 199.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Justin Boulais | 11c | 140.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked August Holmgren | 67c | 118.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Justin Boulais | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked August Holmgren | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Justin Boulais | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed August Holmgren | 70c | 54.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Justin Boulais | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Justin Boulais | 31c | 42.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…e17dbacked August Holmgren | 67c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed August Holmgren | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked August Holmgren | 66c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed August Holmgren | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: August Holmgren vs Justin Boulaisthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Holmgren vs BoulaisHolmgren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.