Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076c46f2bf9ee6122dea21aef5fdc74654f0e28485153b3ec5d0877f518fb98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millwall FCof Queens Park Rangers FC, Millwall FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ac…e8d6backed Millwall FC | 50c | 193.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256d…026dbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 193.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…948dbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 192.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…20e7backed Millwall FC | 50c | 192.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…c208backed Millwall FC | 50c | 192.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…1d41backed Millwall FC | 50c | 189.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…b404backed Millwall FC | 50c | 189.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…b1d6backed Millwall FC | 50c | 188.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…90a9backed Millwall FC | 50c | 187.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…86f5backed Millwall FC | 50c | 186.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…8395backed Millwall FC | 50c | 185.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…42dcbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 185.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…231fbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 184.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…ea44backed Millwall FC | 50c | 183.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…e99fbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 183.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…bfc4backed Millwall FC | 50c | 183.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…353ebacked Millwall FC | 50c | 182.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…92fabacked Millwall FC | 50c | 182.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…7efbbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 182.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…dcc8backed Millwall FC | 50c | 182.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…8428backed Millwall FC | 50c | 182.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…a853backed Millwall FC | 50c | 182.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…5ec9backed Millwall FC | 50c | 182.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…c0a3backed Millwall FC | 50c | 181.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…b797backed Millwall FC | 50c | 181.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…5169backed Millwall FC | 50c | 181.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…0a58backed Millwall FC | 50c | 181.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…915abacked Millwall FC | 50c | 181.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…6baebacked Millwall FC | 50c | 181.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…6b1abacked Millwall FC | 50c | 181.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…2fb8backed Millwall FC | 50c | 181.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…c002backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…ed04backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…61f7backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…598ebacked Millwall FC | 50c | 180.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…e2bfbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 180.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…9a22backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…062abacked Millwall FC | 50c | 180.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f7e2backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…13f3backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…2bd0backed Millwall FC | 50c | 180.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…9c30backed Millwall FC | 50c | 179.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…ca47backed Millwall FC | 50c | 179.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…78febacked Millwall FC | 50c | 179.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b5…ca30backed Millwall FC | 50c | 178.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…ef59backed Millwall FC | 50c | 177.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…b6f0backed Millwall FC | 50c | 177.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…3862backed Millwall FC | 50c | 177.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…d7aebacked Millwall FC | 50c | 177.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50db…1d65backed Millwall FC | 50c | 176.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0eb8backed Millwall FC | 50c | 176.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…58ecbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 176.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…69d1backed Millwall FC | 50c | 175.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…825bbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 174.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…dbe2backed Millwall FC | 50c | 174.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…be3bbacked Millwall FC | 50c | 174.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…b757backed Millwall FC | 50c | 173.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…6c73backed Millwall FC | 50c | 172.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…687abacked Millwall FC | 50c | 172.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…bbc4backed Millwall FC | 50c | 171.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)this page
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.