Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb31e670a30fe67a151d46736bdecdd5bf7ad569131f9afe0d172b92e792da5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19c…7609backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 3,579$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 1,904$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.59 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 1,401$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 48c | 954.79$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 69c | 942.03$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 47c | 717.6$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 27c | 424.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 368.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 365.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 335.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Over | 18c | 162.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 158.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 45c | 145.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Over | 51c | 131.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 56c | 107.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 71c | 78.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 59.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 58.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 45c | 48.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 45c | 48.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Over | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 51c | 32.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.