Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ba34d597d88443fb1ad0bee231634b01f022ba3ac19113a9027e98952e2e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 76c | 1,336$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,067$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 73c | 824.15$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.85 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 73c | 818.27$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.85 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 27c | 537.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.67 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 353.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 247.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 242.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 75c | 242.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 10c | 240.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…d08bbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…e4b8backed Over | 51c | 218.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…de2bbacked Over | 51c | 217.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…d030backed Under | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…ef3bbacked Under | 49c | 215$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…23c2backed Under | 49c | 214$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…e078backed Over | 51c | 211.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…4f72backed Over | 51c | 211.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…634cbacked Over | 51c | 202.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b72…74aebacked Under | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1595…6476backed Over | 51c | 198.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…c545backed Over | 51c | 197.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…ca33backed Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…87ccbacked Over | 51c | 194.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…e535backed Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…2c86backed Under | 49c | 193$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a02…894abacked Under | 49c | 193$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…cad3backed Over | 51c | 192.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…2101backed Under | 49c | 192$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e8…b2f7backed Over | 51c | 191.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 163.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 138.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 16c | 128.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 128.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 117.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 110.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 69.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 58.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 23c | 45.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 44.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 72c | 30.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 27.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1e72backed Under | 74c | 23.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.