CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0784b24f460bd77abae16a9328eaf0e6b96217bb275943b59b61ba07f45d31d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 2,018$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 1,183$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 665$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 527$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…8ed6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 497$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 443.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…a454backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 305$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 301$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 284.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…0541backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 284$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 276.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 275.67$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…437bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…32adbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 228$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…900dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 223$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…dd93backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 203$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 163.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed METANOIA WOLVES | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 108.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…9c83backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 78.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…cb07backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 61.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 38.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 21.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.