Lol · resolved market

LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079bc30f86b8b9aa26896d42dc3361864920e6ef8e53e1dc71b945623d8c8245

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: eSubaof eSuba, Onion Team
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6277…5a3fbacked Onion Team	11c	1,434$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.35	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Onion Team	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	147	61.9%91 W · 56 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Onion Team	9c	1,100$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Onion Team	12c	979.89$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Onion Team	11c	954$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.35	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Onion Team	12c	830.4$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	221	42.5%94 W · 127 L	-13.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed Onion Team	12c	719.17$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.3	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Onion Team	6c	406.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Onion Team	12c	366.67$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7b…5a2cbacked Onion Team	11c	363$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Onion Team	12c	355.2$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.62	214	40.2%86 W · 128 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Onion Team	13c	266.84$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	129	41.1%53 W · 76 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Onion Team	13c	250.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.27	486	52.1%253 W · 233 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Onion Team	13c	185.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Onion Team	12c	173.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Onion Team	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	249	41.4%103 W · 146 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Onion Team (+1.5)eSuba won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasoneSuba won
LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 1 WinnereSuba won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event