Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Onion Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe58806394ffa7984f91d6d5683a06823705d508b4b23deb72a98653a1a9b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, Onion Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked eSuba | 76c | 13,108$10,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.86 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Onion Team | 24c | 9,123$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.71 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Onion Team | 20c | 6,958$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.25 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Onion Team | 16c | 2,505$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Onion Team | 20c | 1,865$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Onion Team | 11c | 1,386$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Onion Team | 22c | 1,035$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Onion Team | 20c | 965$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…6db0backed Onion Team | 22c | 804.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Onion Team | 20c | 676$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Onion Team | 22c | 648.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Onion Team | 20c | 618.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…5a2cbacked Onion Team | 21c | 565.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Onion Team | 10c | 543.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Onion Team | 21c | 345.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…858abacked Onion Team | 22c | 301.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Onion Team | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0a61backed Onion Team | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Onion Team | 22c | 293.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Onion Team | 10c | 249$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Onion Team | 24c | 245.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Onion Team | 22c | 242$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Onion Team | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…74d5backed Onion Team | 22c | 133.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Onion Team | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Onion Team | 22c | 100.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Onion Team | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed eSuba | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed Onion Team | 12c | 80.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked eSuba | 80c | 73.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked eSuba | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed eSuba | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Onion Team (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasoneSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 1 WinnereSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team - Game 2 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.