Tennis · resolved market
ITF Asuncion: Camila Romero vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c566dc850e8e2f8925a2eafd2855b7addb6dea51fb805f5c06e4c8787dcbf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camila Romeroof Camila Romero, Justina Gonzalez Daniele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 58c | 946.23$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Camila Romero | 53c | 490.32$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Camila Romero | 16c | 278.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.65 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Camila Romero | 33c | 272.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 30c | 231.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Camila Romero | 17c | 197$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Camila Romero | 63c | 183.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 52c | 178$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Camila Romero | 60c | 162$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Camila Romero | 51c | 162$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Camila Romero | 47c | 112.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Camila Romero | 73c | 97.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Camila Romero | 17c | 75.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Camila Romero | 69c | 65.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Camila Romero | 37c | 60.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 24c | 59.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Camila Romero | 17c | 59.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 68c | 39.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 46c | 38.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 69c | 26.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.