CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f37fceb640b7444d75090c0734e504d967895515fa85f512a1ee2484521dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 1,520$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.73 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 445.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Lazer Cats | 45c | 369.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 41c | 369.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lazer Cats | 45c | 278.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Lazer Cats | 44c | 260$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 223.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Lazer Cats | 26c | 192.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 33c | 135.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Lazer Cats | 76c | 131.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 73.7%235 W · 84 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 106.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 78.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Lazer Cats | 41c | 75.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BASEMENT BOYS | 27c | 58.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Lazer Cats | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lazer Cats | 52c | 41.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lazer Cats | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lazer Cats | 46c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lazer Cats | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.