Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f64cbfb34191a7f07a4ac02b993a17cd9979ba228727b8d7e8ce74f74567bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 11c | 9,697$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 3,137$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,470$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 900.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 577$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 473.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 4c | 460.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…7b8fbacked Yes | 5c | 268.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 212.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 144.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d5…ab60backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.