Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0811559e70c671b1e904fc835bd01e0a30a38ee389423cc7ca9dc6fa8cd94eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 18c | 14,153$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.54 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 13,320$10,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.64 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 3,966$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.97 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 3,099$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.49 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 29c | 2,391$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 2,119$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.56 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 1,736$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.07 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 75c | 1,534$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.55 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 967.81$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 706.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 432.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 399.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 397.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed No | 77c | 397.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 310.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 24c | 233.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…279ebacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 16c | 107.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 63.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 76c | 51.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 25c | 46.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yes | 26c | 45.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…2511backed No | 79c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.