Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0114690898b89f9caa73cfd2a1abb8bfac8348e661065f98e046e9717fa4500a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 32c | 14,153$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,624.04 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 68c | 11,569$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 8,792$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,869$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.54 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 35c | 1,100$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 931.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 843$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed No | 73c | 608.77$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 508.6$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.11 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 285$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 77c | 250.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 151.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 13c | 120.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed No | 19c | 95.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 90.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 80c | 83.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 28c | 79.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 62.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 61.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 62c | 58.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.