TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c36,700$21,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,393.747,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes48c17,198$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,305.1937641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9836243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef9…2d16backed Yes40c11,931$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes33c8,429$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.392040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c8,168$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920.796547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No53c7,743$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.8666047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x808d…c1babacked Yes46c5,624$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c5,150$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.982,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,156$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.495,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c4,003$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.2867050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes47c3,444$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.6817146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c2,966$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.312,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes48c2,078$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c2,036$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.842,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22dd…6743backed Yes42c1,770$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes45c1,700$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No55c1,700$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Yes47c1,474$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes42c1,390$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.4537149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No53c1,150$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.264841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes30c800$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No59c595.15$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2285340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No55c576.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c452$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4539637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes42c443.04$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No59c429.11$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3711520.9%24 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008844.3%39 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes32c377.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c319.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.961,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Yes41c271.93$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes49c255.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1449046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No54c243.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9114360.8%87 W · 56 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes42c237.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c220.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9736647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No53c196.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4629425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No55c176.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2512562.4%78 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No57c176.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.494829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No54c174.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.194100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No55c160$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.816248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.221044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes49c119$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4710524.8%26 W · 79 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c104.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9689258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…f19abacked Yes46c101.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c96.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.261,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes42c94.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.897042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes43c79.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes41c70.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+69.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No55c70.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No70c67.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No60c65.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.972623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes44c60.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.556023.3%14 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No59c58.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.937736.4%28 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No64c57.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7918143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258458.3%49 W · 35 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes44c53.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.369943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes47c53.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.043458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2184…2aeabacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221644.4%96 W · 120 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2198552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No69c46.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.436142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4993…2511backed No53c42.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.694546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked No55c41.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed No55c41.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No62c38.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2412456.5%70 W · 54 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked No60c35.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c3…5ce1backed Yes30c33.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134139%16 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes44c29.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82b…e65abacked Yes42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No55c28.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7727856.1%156 W · 122 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes44c26.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c25.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.224652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Yes47c22.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No78c21.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6811145%50 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…9654backed No59c20.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed No60c16.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.793860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.