Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0820c4e742e66ed3fe310a887d35324dc6b135059579b7a7c31e757aae4fb4b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 5,619$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.97 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Team Phoenix | 31c | 4,345$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Phoenix | 32c | 1,696$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.32 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Phoenix | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 241.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 142.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Phoenix | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 70.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.