Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0558bff05aadbabcf6acf07a5ada8e5e97a080ceed18039b7ad127369e11c66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Phoenix | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Team Phoenix | 8c | 5,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Phoenix | 10c | 3,256$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.64 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 1,979$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Phoenix | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Phoenix | 9c | 1,148$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Team Phoenix | 13c | 747.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 242 | 27.7%67 W · 175 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Phoenix | 10c | 599.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Team Phoenix | 9c | 531.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Team Phoenix | 11c | 481.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Team Phoenix | 9c | 442.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Phoenix | 10c | 418.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Phoenix | 12c | 378.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 365.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Team Phoenix | 30c | 319.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Phoenix | 8c | 312.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Phoenix | 5c | 310.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 259.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Phoenix | 8c | 241.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 207.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Team Phoenix | 10c | 207.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Phoenix | 12c | 159.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team Phoenix | 15c | 149.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Team Phoenix | 11c | 122.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Team Phoenix | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 195 | 52.3%102 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 53.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.