Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08257cb5d20ceaf8313c974b2f25f61532e0a833552c490a0dce12d8b1c0b73c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 18c | 4,546$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 79c | 3,279$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 22c | 1,562$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 11c | 481.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 24c | 414.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 365.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…a506backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 27c | 354.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 216.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 24c | 214.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 80c | 201.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 21c | 131.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 122.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 19c | 90.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 67.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…171fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 20c | 66.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 66.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 80c | 48.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 17.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-10.5)St. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.