Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08360dfd83b22fcd0c8ed0c407ceb092a40c843824d7defd4d0d0a74ef76f48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof SU Esports, BoostGate Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed BoostGate Esports | 4c | 1,413$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed BoostGate Esports | 23c | 660.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked SU Esports | 78c | 524.39$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BoostGate Esports | 29c | 502.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked SU Esports | 62c | 242.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed BoostGate Esports | 46c | 228.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed BoostGate Esports | 30c | 192.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked BoostGate Esports | 28c | 185.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed BoostGate Esports | 47c | 160.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed SU Esports | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed SU Esports | 70c | 143.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SU Esports | 54c | 126.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed SU Esports | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed BoostGate Esports | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 329 | 54.4%179 W · 150 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SU Esports | 72c | 120.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed BoostGate Esports | 15c | 109.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BoostGate Esports | 25c | 88.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed BoostGate Esports | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed SU Esports | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed SU Esports | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed SU Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed SU Esports | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed SU Esports | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed SU Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed SU Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed BoostGate Esports | 39c | 33.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked BoostGate Esports | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed SU Esports | 51c | 24.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed SU Esports | 73c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 WinnerBoostGate Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 3 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.