Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c49f6fd3354bf50ccd9e7698648e519993582347a7f9edbb1b415dbbfa5cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoostGate Esportsof SU Esports, BoostGate Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed SU Esports | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BoostGate Esports | 49c | 3,753$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.48 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed SU Esports | 13c | 2,878$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BoostGate Esports | 77c | 2,187$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.42 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed BoostGate Esports | 46c | 1,483$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.82 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BoostGate Esports | 60c | 995.46$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed SU Esports | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked SU Esports | 29c | 620.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed SU Esports | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SU Esports | 9c | 394.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked SU Esports | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked SU Esports | 60c | 248.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoostGate Esports | 46c | 246.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed SU Esports | 71c | 231.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BoostGate Esports | 30c | 189.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SU Esports | 55c | 152.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoostGate Esports | 60c | 124.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed SU Esports | 63c | 111.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked SU Esports | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed SU Esports | 70c | 100.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 329 | 54.4%179 W · 150 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BoostGate Esports | 30c | 93.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked BoostGate Esports | 25c | 91.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked SU Esports | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed SU Esports | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SU Esports | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed SU Esports | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked BoostGate Esports | 53c | 37.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed BoostGate Esports | 48c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed SU Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed SU Esports | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed BoostGate Esports | 69c | 24.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed BoostGate Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 627 | 43.9%275 W · 352 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 3 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 4 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.