Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gran Canaria: Anna Siskova vs Berfu Cengiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0858f905fa88bef68c462597775be8200aafed1bc04fea1e9210d12aa43a759c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berfu Cengizof Anna Siskova, Berfu Cengiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Berfu Cengiz | 68c | 3,761$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Siskova | 31c | 2,211$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Anna Siskova | 30c | 1,690$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Siskova | 12c | 1,537$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Anna Siskova | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Berfu Cengiz | 61c | 1,187$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Anna Siskova | 14c | 348.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Anna Siskova | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Anna Siskova | 60c | 257.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Berfu Cengiz | 37c | 255.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Berfu Cengiz | 24c | 247.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Berfu Cengiz | 73c | 185.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anna Siskova | 18c | 150.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Berfu Cengiz | 36c | 143.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Berfu Cengiz | 35c | 115.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna Siskova | 43c | 111.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Anna Siskova | 35c | 106.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Anna Siskova | 65c | 104.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Berfu Cengiz | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Anna Siskova | 62c | 91.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 86.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Anna Siskova | 16c | 85.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 79.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Berfu Cengiz | 80c | 69.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Anna Siskova | 64c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Anna Siskova | 26c | 67.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Anna Siskova | 64c | 67.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Anna Siskova | 63c | 66.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anna Siskova | 64c | 64.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Berfu Cengiz | 67c | 63.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 77c | 39.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Anna Siskova | 30c | 37.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Berfu Cengiz | 73c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Anna Siskova | 61c | 29.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anna Siskova | 49c | 25.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Berfu Cengiz | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.