CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0864911b9bd3830c1de99c62b3c78db4b98f21cb1f0fc8b83bcc36b9f237f865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 7,961$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 1,702$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 1,091$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ex-MANA eSports | 2c | 887.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 771$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 712.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 536.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked ex-MANA eSports | 13c | 500.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 363.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…37a3backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 316.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 264.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 171.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 142.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 141.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed ex-MANA eSports | 10c | 101.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ex-MANA eSports | 26c | 95.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 77.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 66.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 62.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e3e1backed ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked INOX Division | 80c | 24.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.