Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0882f76e9ce0adf9fd09d13623b7e2dfc3fecae467296b4951c9f747b705389f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers | 52c | 2,857$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.01 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 76c | 2,582$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.32 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 14c | 2,105$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.57 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 49c | 969.47$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 45c | 953.8$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Power Rangers | 24c | 909.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers | 45c | 830.01$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.26 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 744.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 54c | 706$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.76 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers | 4c | 612.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Power Rangers | 36c | 558$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed L1ga Team | 75c | 551.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Power Rangers | 5c | 504.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 476.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Power Rangers | 40c | 467.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 467.4$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 64c | 336.48$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 58c | 328.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Power Rangers | 36c | 316.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 20c | 306.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Power Rangers | 32c | 303.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Power Rangers | 21c | 257.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed L1ga Team | 79c | 249.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 11c | 248.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 22c | 229.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 28c | 227$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 223.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Power Rangers | 47c | 207.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Power Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers | 33c | 199.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Power Rangers | 27c | 197.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Power Rangers | 40c | 165.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 62c | 134.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers | 10c | 121.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed L1ga Team | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Power Rangers | 12c | 106.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 14c | 105.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 102.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers | 34c | 101.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed L1ga Team | 57c | 95.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed L1ga Team | 53c | 87.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked L1ga Team | 45c | 87.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 53c | 85.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed L1ga Team | 50c | 84.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Power Rangers | 17c | 82.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed L1ga Team | 74c | 81.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…02dbbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 79.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 70.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 69.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Power Rangers | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked L1ga Team | 71c | 45.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 44.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed L1ga Team | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Power Rangers | 54c | 34.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed L1ga Team | 45c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team | 48c | 29.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed L1ga Team | 55c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed L1ga Team | 74c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…0fe5backed L1ga Team | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.