Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Iannis Miletich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b9e75a67a8550d3dad448c2c1c18545a45834fa853e04ee22092407f4a1093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Sciahbasiof Matteo Sciahbasi, Iannis Miletich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Iannis Miletich | 43c | 1,208$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 57c | 839.63$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.17 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Iannis Miletich | 40c | 193.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 80c | 188.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Iannis Miletich | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 28.7%43 W · 107 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 78c | 99.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 64c | 92.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Iannis Miletich | 48c | 76.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…8d0cbacked Iannis Miletich | 41c | 74.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Iannis Miletich | 42c | 62.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…ae28backed Iannis Miletich | 28c | 58.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Iannis Miletich | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 68c | 49.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 67c | 46.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…681ebacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 51c | 42.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 61c | 37.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 77c | 35.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…b550backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 58c | 30.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Iannis Miletich | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 63c | 30.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Iannis Miletich | 47c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 71c | 23.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 53c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Iannis Miletich | 49c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 72c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Iannis Miletichthis page
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Completed Match: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Iannis MiletichYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.