College Football · resolved market
Kansas vs Colorado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0980ff93f139b9c555efb6409c0ecc9a147e9c61f7392b8fc3da00ca8a3af51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansasof Kansas, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…c487backed Kansas | 47c | 19,325$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,242.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Colorado | 53c | 12,721$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.13 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Colorado | 37c | 7,702$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Colorado | 23c | 4,056$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.28 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Colorado | 19c | 2,679$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Colorado | 35c | 2,320$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.87 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Kansas | 44c | 2,052$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Kansas | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado | 56c | 2,000$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.4 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Colorado | 35c | 1,701$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Kansas | 59c | 1,668$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Colorado | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Colorado | 49c | 1,362$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Colorado | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Colorado | 40c | 787.23$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.89 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Kansas | 73c | 683.18$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Colorado | 42c | 524.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…e26abacked Colorado | 30c | 504.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Kansas | 70c | 441$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Colorado | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Kansas | 64c | 400$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Colorado | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Colorado | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Colorado | 22c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Colorado | 50c | 328.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…62f4backed Colorado | 51c | 290$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed Colorado | 39c | 257.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado | 22c | 253.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…435abacked Colorado | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Colorado | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colorado | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Colorado | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Colorado | 55c | 169.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Kansas | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kansas | 33c | 143.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Kansas | 75c | 133.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Colorado | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Colorado | 40c | 111.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Colorado | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kansas | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Colorado | 34c | 95.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Colorado | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Kansas | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Kansas | 66c | 81.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Colorado | 49c | 75.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Kansas | 43c | 70.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Colorado | 46c | 51.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Colorado | 21c | 50.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…ee42backed Colorado | 36c | 42.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Kansas | 74c | 39.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Colorado | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Colorado | 57c | 35.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Colorado | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Colorado | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Colorado | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.