Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Townsend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098ac0113c9b0a5e4d6fd5d8ee68d4d3901f72e23ff2b863334796cc2ad2c1d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Townsend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Townsend | 16c | 1,302$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Townsend | 52c | 831.95$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Townsend | 30c | 662.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Townsend | 42c | 607.04$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gauff | 45c | 539$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Townsend | 31c | 366.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 43c | 323.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Townsend | 16c | 275$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Gauff | 51c | 221.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Townsend | 19c | 221.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Gauff | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 77c | 186$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Gauff | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Townsend | 12c | 125.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Gauff | 69c | 116.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Townsend | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Gauff | 57c | 97.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Gauff | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Gauff | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…43efbacked Gauff | 74c | 35.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gauff | 79c | 33.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gauff | 78c | 27.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gauff | 66c | 26.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gauff | 64c | 15.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Townsendthis page
- Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor TownsendCoco Gauff won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.