Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a8c93f09fbfec5f90bde494db4fad94f259b45c11d614ebff1929dcf5c6f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 42c | 181$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 42c | 122$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…a156backed Yes | 60c | 104.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 39c | 78.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 66.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 45.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 41c | 36.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 56c | 30.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Yes | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.