Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0df95d75f02914814baac944646aebc9a46fd33a7542a488b9b20978e0e8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,007$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 56c | 441.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Over | 55c | 372.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 55c | 361.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 217.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 56c | 184.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 160.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 44c | 158.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Under | 45c | 128.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 45c | 124.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Under | 45c | 118.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 55c | 91.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 45c | 68.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…e009backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 46.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 63c | 31.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 37c | 31.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…f3c6backed Over | 54c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5this page
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.