Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b0aa5d618e87bc3d68ae713e51866bf909fc1fe6072e7d4b32228bd1c2d513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dellienof Dellien, Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Olivieri | 16c | 4,164$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Olivieri | 5c | 2,022$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Olivieri | 12c | 1,455$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Dellien | 65c | 1,179$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Olivieri | 35c | 1,129$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Dellien | 71c | 902.62$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Olivieri | 16c | 856.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Dellien | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Olivieri | 7c | 391.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Dellien | 72c | 187.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Olivieri | 39c | 179.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Dellien | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dellien | 74c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Olivieri | 33c | 140$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Olivieri | 33c | 119.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Olivieri | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Olivieri | 23c | 88.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…6541backed Dellien | 69c | 72.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Olivieri | 24c | 62.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dellien | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Olivieri | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Dellien | 80c | 58.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Dellien | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Olivieri | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Dellien | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Dellien | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Dellien | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Dellien | 71c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Dellien | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Genaro Alberto Olivierithis page
- Dellien vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Dellien vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Dellien vs. Olivieri: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs OlivieriDellien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.