MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a059434fafeade0666fd7e68b586fb0ac0f3804c16b1160c9a212eb33068a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 599.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 41c | 459.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 419.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 321.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 34c | 306.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 34c | 292.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 48c | 200.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed SSG Landers | 34c | 166.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 142.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 34c | 141.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 136.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SSG Landers | 24c | 131.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 126.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 35c | 116.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed SSG Landers | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 60.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed SSG Landers | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 52.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 43.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 36c | 41.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 39.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 44c | 36.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.