Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Johannus Monday vs Arda Azkara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2d035b689d404c07a056573833fd2de2287b0b608ca99784840b27333d4992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johannus Mondayof Johannus Monday, Arda Azkara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Arda Azkara | 20c | 7,574$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.83 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 7,537$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.41 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arda Azkara | 20c | 1,325$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.48 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arda Azkara | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…4d07backed Arda Azkara | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arda Azkara | 11c | 744.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arda Azkara | 13c | 350.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Arda Azkara | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Arda Azkara | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Arda Azkara | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arda Azkara | 21c | 181.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 179$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Arda Azkara | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Arda Azkara | 11c | 147.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Johannus Monday | 79c | 127.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Arda Azkara | 12c | 107.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Arda Azkara | 13c | 101.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Arda Azkara | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Arda Azkara | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Arda Azkara | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Arda Azkara | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Arda Azkara | 21c | 86.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Johannus Monday | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Arda Azkara | 21c | 64.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Johannus Monday | 79c | 49.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Johannus Monday | 80c | 48.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Johannus Monday | 79c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Johannus Monday | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham 3: Johannus Monday vs Arda Azkarathis page
- Monday vs. Azkara: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.