Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Lola Radivojevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4558a47dae5bee9ec1eafd5c17b4f844c1eeebe5c2ee2df40e92899290b01a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hunterof Hunter, Radivojevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Radivojevic | 36c | 1,448$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.32 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hunter | 68c | 559.46$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hunter | 71c | 373$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Radivojevic | 30c | 338.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hunter | 67c | 329.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Radivojevic | 18c | 292.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Hunter | 75c | 254$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hunter | 74c | 244$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Radivojevic | 26c | 174.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Radivojevic | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Radivojevic | 39c | 74.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hunter | 64c | 38.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…9749backed Radivojevic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Hunter | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…df06backed Hunter | 72c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Radivojevic | 54c | 27.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Hunter | 78c | 26.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Hunter | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.