Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4d7b1a267428618013dd8dc68777d0879946a58fe92e00a1bb049ca4a6bf7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Surrey, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Surrey | 16c | 998.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Leicestershire | 57c | 503.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Surrey | 43c | 358.38$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Surrey | 9c | 349$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Surrey | 41c | 330.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 36c | 288.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leicestershire | 59c | 223.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Leicestershire | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Surrey | 25c | 132.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Leicestershire | 56c | 121.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leicestershire | 65c | 120.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Surrey | 44c | 117$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Surrey | 43c | 115.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Surrey | 49c | 113.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…23e0backed Surrey | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Leicestershire | 77c | 92.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Surrey | 37c | 91.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Surrey | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Leicestershire | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Surrey | 43c | 69.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Surrey | 22c | 66.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Leicestershire | 49c | 53.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Leicestershire | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Leicestershire | 64c | 46.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Surrey | 25c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Surrey | 41c | 41.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Surrey | 44c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Leicestershire | 63c | 38.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Leicestershire | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Leicestershire | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Leicestershire | 61c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Surrey | 37c | 27.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Leicestershire | 57c | 27.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Leicestershire | 59c | 19.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Leicestershire | 61c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.