Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Sergey Fomin vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4f028913836539099009ea3faabc49d6f7a43aa8bb6ffa1ad4182169693db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Sergey Fomin, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 2,592$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Alcala Gurri | 72c | 2,448$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…f3bebacked Sergey Fomin | 33c | 1,936$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergey Fomin | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sergey Fomin | 38c | 1,122$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sergey Fomin | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…54d4backed Sergey Fomin | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 78c | 939.1$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sergey Fomin | 20c | 446.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Sergey Fomin | 28c | 440.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sergey Fomin | 23c | 421.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Sergey Fomin | 13c | 383.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sergey Fomin | 22c | 329$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…34a6backed Sergey Fomin | 31c | 320.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sergey Fomin | 25c | 225.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Sergey Fomin | 32c | 201.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sergey Fomin | 35c | 189.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Sergey Fomin | 32c | 186.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 185.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 80c | 177.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Sergey Fomin | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Sergey Fomin | 41c | 137.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 68c | 133.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sergey Fomin | 22c | 131.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sergey Fomin | 16c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 121.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 103.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sergey Fomin | 33c | 102.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Sergey Fomin | 24c | 87.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sergey Fomin | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Sergey Fomin | 21c | 80.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 76c | 59.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Sergey Fomin | 40c | 58.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Sergey Fomin | 23c | 57.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 56.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Max Alcala Gurri | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Max Alcala Gurri | 69c | 47.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 47.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sergey Fomin | 25c | 42.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sergey Fomin | 24c | 41.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 80c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Max Alcala Gurri | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sergey Fomin | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Max Alcala Gurri | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 22.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.