Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Franco Ribero vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a71fce4e474be52c6a9ba1cd8f157f93a93a10e4a39d077b0006e05ae991c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alvaro Guillen Mezaof Franco Ribero, Alvaro Guillen Meza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 78c | 2,730$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.98 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Ribero | 18c | 2,341$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Franco Ribero | 12c | 1,932$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 78c | 1,743$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Franco Ribero | 14c | 1,474$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Franco Ribero | 8c | 1,429$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Franco Ribero | 18c | 925.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Franco Ribero | 10c | 778.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Franco Ribero | 25c | 742.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Franco Ribero | 13c | 713.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Ribero | 23c | 706.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 686.51$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Franco Ribero | 13c | 511$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 76c | 510$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Franco Ribero | 9c | 502.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Franco Ribero | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Franco Ribero | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Franco Ribero | 14c | 296.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Franco Ribero | 7c | 275.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 78c | 219.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed Franco Ribero | 9c | 173.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franco Ribero | 14c | 149.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 142.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 73c | 134.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Ribero | 16c | 127.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 121.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 80c | 120.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Franco Ribero | 13c | 118.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Franco Ribero | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…08f4backed Franco Ribero | 25c | 99.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Franco Ribero | 22c | 95.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 91.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Franco Ribero | 13c | 87.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Ribero | 22c | 85.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Franco Ribero | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Franco Ribero | 24c | 77.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Franco Ribero | 30c | 76.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 78c | 69.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…3a69backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 63.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Franco Ribero | 20c | 57.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Franco Ribero | 21c | 54.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 52.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 48.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 77c | 30.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 80c | 28.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 78c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campinas: Franco Ribero vs Alvaro Guillen Mezathis page
- Ribero vs. Meza: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.