Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa6e6b0df0035ee282fc8d31c39d61e34733c1029bcc52b953ccf04906888d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed No | 47c | 2,625$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 2,039$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.24 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 1,439$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 1,264$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 884.65$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.58 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 773$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.66 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 54c | 543.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 45c | 485.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 421.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 60c | 365.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 57c | 333.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 43c | 279.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 148.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 140.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 54c | 137.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 135.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 55c | 120.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 55c | 96.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 59c | 89.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 16c | 68.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 63.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…68dabacked No | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 45c | 47.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 57c | 41.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 58c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 53c | 33.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 55c | 22.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk end in a draw?No won
- Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.