Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae8a2e1960f92c258485fd068e9630261280ca7e6fe7f2e789cda6c674d5a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a56…33b7backed Yes | 19c | 904.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 904.52$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.48 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 798.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 630.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 350.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 18c | 264.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 252.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 12c | 215$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 149.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 54c | 127.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 103$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 31c | 92.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 55c | 79.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 13c | 76.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 62c | 72.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 19c | 61.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 54.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 53c | 53.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 48.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 49c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 62c | 29.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.