South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0afc4d2093cff8baeaa7b33f6eb24d3711f1817e34f302e07639624a2fc45671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.97 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 57c | 4,333$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,884$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 2,451$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.05 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,724$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 1,220$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.31 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 57c | 863$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 382.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 377.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 333.39$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 57c | 263$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 107.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 87.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 35c | 51.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 42.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…57d1backed Over | 43c | 33.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…167bbacked Over | 44c | 26.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…9b39backed Under | 59c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 59c | 17.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.