La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b43194225a4ab6a8f0efadf79484cfa3f388a03eb2c8763c110628edd861aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 1c | 1,752$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,617$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 989.91$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 24c | 728.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 67c | 723.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 575.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 47c | 458.74$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 296.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 245.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 69c | 245$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 200.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 169.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 125.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 102.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ca…17f3backed Over | 78c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 77c | 92.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 63c | 79.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 76.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…9af4backed Over | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 45c | 61.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 54.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 50.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…b446backed Under | 31c | 47.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…c44dbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…bfdabacked Over | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.