Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4ad0de27dfb685b173bab2ec9ec5116865c738b2ea95ec0552f4d874ee7b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 41c | 5,882$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 59c | 5,555$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.55 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 980.75$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.42 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 58c | 966.5$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 804.58$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 42c | 804.5$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 57c | 614.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Over | 42c | 574.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 40c | 395.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 36c | 335.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 66c | 241.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 42c | 241$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…3ad1backed Over | 40c | 207.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 206.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…1a95backed Under | 61c | 179.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Over | 42c | 172.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 42c | 167.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 67c | 154.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 33c | 148.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 118.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Over | 43c | 105.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 56c | 104.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 101.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 100.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 97.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 40c | 96.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 53c | 82.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 70.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 40c | 62.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 43c | 60.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Under | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 37c | 55.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 63c | 49.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 40c | 45.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…31e6backed Over | 43c | 43.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Over | 40c | 43.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 65c | 37.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…23a0backed Over | 42c | 35.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 46c | 32.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 45c | 29.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 57c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 47c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 60c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Over | 58c | 19.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.