South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4cb5b9eb907579a6c07603e4e0d501b57c82d4016fed8a033b9432a7d01b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 54c | 4,976$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.01 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 4,128$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 48c | 3,542$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 1,435$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.32 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 47c | 1,287$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.89 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 34c | 1,175$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.17 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 1,104$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 76c | 932$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 690$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.82 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 518.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 54c | 362.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 68c | 302$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 268.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 218.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 134.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…f9f6backed No | 44c | 130.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 118.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 48c | 118.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 45c | 111.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 54c | 93.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 90.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 90.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 53c | 80.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…52a6backed Yes | 53c | 75.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…8686backed No | 48c | 70.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…143abacked Yes | 58c | 50.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Yes | 54c | 45.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed No | 48c | 43.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…cf2fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…482dbacked Yes | 79c | 33.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 54c | 32.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.