Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b81f62d5c2986549b4cd2cdfcd9093be6e82c0e5bd5e23c0557beb723e81f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Pipsqueak+4, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed L1ga Team | 53c | 5,589$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.49 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 0c | 2,978$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 1,085$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 924.09$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.54 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 906.96$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 864.59$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed L1ga Team | 54c | 557$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 350.68$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed L1ga Team | 57c | 314.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 266.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 242.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed L1ga Team | 56c | 237.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 189$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…f8b5backed L1ga Team | 56c | 102.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed L1ga Team | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 98.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed L1ga Team | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked L1ga Team | 43c | 47.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afe…e30dbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 35.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed L1ga Team | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…2589backed L1ga Team | 56c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…e73ebacked L1ga Team | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…09b8backed L1ga Team | 55c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) Pipsqueak+4 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.