Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac1a45dace9421a7b3dc7ab8d6e38996a9de6acbed257f26e605b43b756ca5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Pipsqueak+4, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 1c | 5,382$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked L1ga Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked L1ga Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team | 13c | 719$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed L1ga Team | 14c | 719$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 605$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked L1ga Team | 44c | 505.75$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 465.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed L1ga Team | 50c | 464.71$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked L1ga Team | 48c | 452.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 325.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 262.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed L1ga Team | 54c | 74.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed L1ga Team | 41c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed L1ga Team | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group B Pipsqueak+4 won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5) Pipsqueak+4 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.