South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b82916d16a89582eccd4be8acee17e94017af985962abf909b6973b046cda85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 15c | 968.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 17c | 442.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 384.79$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 376.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 284.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 73c | 284.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 205.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 29c | 179.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 78c | 169.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 30c | 127.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 78c | 79.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 65.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 51.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 44.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 44.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5f8ebacked No | 74c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.