TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof LUA Gaming, ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed LUA Gaming9c6,709$603 inLost-$603.471,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed LUA Gaming9c2,174$196 inLost-$195.74231%13 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LUA Gaming9c1,418$128 inLost-$127.631,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed LUA Gaming1c1,164$14 inLost-$14.156045%27 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed LUA Gaming9c522.82$45 inLost-$44.7275142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LUA Gaming6c500$30 inLost-$301,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LUA Gaming6c494.21$29 inLost-$29.161,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed LUA Gaming4c482.41$20 inLost-$19.9410239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b45…1a0abacked LUA Gaming8c455.38$36 inLost-$36.431330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed LUA Gaming9c421.75$38 inLost-$37.9630441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LUA Gaming8c262.31$21 inLost-$20.572,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LUA Gaming7c255.26$17 inLost-$17.462,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LUA Gaming10c241.51$24 inLost-$24.1586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed LUA Gaming6c177.83$11 inLost-$10.673342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed LUA Gaming9c138$12 inLost-$12.428633.7%29 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x337e…9b4ebacked LUA Gaming9c114.32$10 inLost-$10.2932554.8%178 W · 147 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.