TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof LUA Gaming, ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,358 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfee…ed1fbacked LUA Gaming4c12,818$522 inLost-$521.6115821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LUA Gaming4c5,820$233 inLost-$232.821,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked LUA Gaming6c4,857$291 inLost-$291.420535.1%72 W · 133 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed LUA Gaming6c4,626$278 inLost-$277.5712850%64 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LUA Gaming4c4,471$199 inLost-$198.967931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked LUA Gaming6c2,744$169 inLost-$168.928041.3%33 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed LUA Gaming2c1,961$30 inLost-$30.379546.3%44 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LUA Gaming4c1,414$56 inLost-$56.241,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LUA Gaming2c628.41$13 inLost-$12.72,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed LUA Gaming5c624.1$31 inLost-$31.230441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed LUA Gaming6c489.47$31 inLost-$31.2611532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed LUA Gaming5c472.03$24 inLost-$23.5727432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0c…988ebacked LUA Gaming3c408.15$10 inLost-$10.365028%14 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed LUA Gaming6c348.03$22 inLost-$22.2712931.8%41 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed LUA Gaming4c277.46$11 inLost-$10.7978043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed LUA Gaming5c200$10 inLost-$107833.3%26 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.