TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof LUA Gaming, ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked LUA Gaming6c7,487$487 inLost-$486.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed LUA Gaming9c2,310$207 inLost-$206.544231%13 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LUA Gaming9c1,443$129 inLost-$129.0490537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LUA Gaming9c1,418$128 inLost-$127.631,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed LUA Gaming7c955.66$67 inLost-$67.1210239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LUA Gaming6c800$48 inLost-$481,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LUA Gaming3c499.99$15 inLost-$151,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked LUA Gaming8c457.99$37 inLost-$36.6410831.5%34 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LUA Gaming7c438.18$32 inLost-$31.82,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed LUA Gaming9c421.75$38 inLost-$37.9630441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LUA Gaming8c312.5$25 inLost-$251,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked LUA Gaming8c266.13$21 inLost-$21.1353649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed LUA Gaming9c204$18 inLost-$18.3675142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed LUA Gaming9c157.57$14 inLost-$14.1851044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.