Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vlado Jankanj vs Gabriele Maria Noce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bfc460d939c313bc2195d552f94149ef568f75a221e3ca92a7fd6ec763def10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriele Maria Noceof Vlado Jankanj, Gabriele Maria Noce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 55c | 5,208$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vlado Jankanj | 15c | 1,878$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Vlado Jankanj | 77c | 1,546$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.13 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Vlado Jankanj | 79c | 1,122$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.2 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vlado Jankanj | 61c | 775.61$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 52c | 486.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Vlado Jankanj | 79c | 239.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 60c | 227.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 41c | 163.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Vlado Jankanj | 62c | 161.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Vlado Jankanj | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…6303backed Vlado Jankanj | 11c | 106.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 57c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 65c | 99.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vlado Jankanj | 18c | 68.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 77c | 49.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Vlado Jankanj | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Vlado Jankanj | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 62c | 32.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 59c | 29.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Gabriele Maria Noce | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Vlado Jankanj | 51c | 28.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Vlado Jankanj | 61c | 24.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gabriele Maria Noce | 66c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Vlado Jankanj | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Vlado Jankanj | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Vlado Jankanj | 58c | 17.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.