TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KFUM-Kameratene Osloof FK Bodø/Glimt, KFUM-Kameratene Oslo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo76c2,200$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.047,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FK Bodø/Glimt25c1,900$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.062,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed FK Bodø/Glimt22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo77c109.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5855954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c105.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.592,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo80c105$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.112,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Bodø/Glimt27c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5598552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed FK Bodø/Glimt23c64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7520550.7%104 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo75c56.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.637682.9%63 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c40.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.013429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513252.3%69 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.