Asian League · resolved market
Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2bf58813e9e1844f35d0c521d6a05471a1dc3197ecc7797409edbfc0582790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 11c | 1,732$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.08 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 69c | 656.64$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…4cdfbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…23bbbacked No | 55c | 343.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 205.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x918b…7f17backed Yes | 11c | 114.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 61.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 49.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?this page
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 0 - 0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 0 - 1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 0 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 0 - 3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 3 - 0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 3 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
- Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 3 - 3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.