Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c532357cf00804d6417084d21d2f49f615b44d6654aadf0180c3a19ea70846c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 11c | 15,917$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.91 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 14,378$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 6,477$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked No | 12c | 3,328$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 9c | 2,583$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 12c | 2,252$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 2,178$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 11c | 1,933$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 13c | 1,931$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 1,603$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 5c | 1,563$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 11c | 1,397$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 8c | 1,362$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 905.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 705.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 8c | 632.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 13c | 481.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 12c | 409.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 10c | 361.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed No | 8c | 353.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 12c | 211.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 12c | 210.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 6c | 172.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked No | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 12c | 108.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…2c8ebacked No | 12c | 100.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.